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First Republic – the latest banking domino

Microsoft was the big winner from the quarterly earnings reports bonanza yesterday with shares shooting up by 9% in after-hours trading – execs denied its $10bn relationship with our new robotic overlord OpenAI was a driving factor. Amazon and Alphabet defied expectations too last quarter which has pushed up shares and given rival tech companies a boost in the process. Although great news for investors it will come as little comfort to the tens of thousands of staff the companies let go earlier this year.

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First Republic – the latest banking domino

It had already been a week to forget for First Republic, after Monday’s announcement that the California-based lender had lost a net total of $72bn in deposits during Q1. Tuesday wasn’t much better as a sharp sell-off caused its share value to plunge and regulators to panic.

As of yesterday, First Republic’s stock price was down a whopping 93% year-on-year. Like many others, the SVB aftershocks rocked FR customers into withdrawing $100bn of deposits. In turn, 11 of the US’s largest banks stepped in and deposited $30bn to tide it over.

But this has set off its own panic, heaping further misery on First Republic. For context, Credit Suisse’s outflows in the first quarter of 2023 were approximately $69bn, and SVB’s outflow were $42bn on the day that it failed. Yikes.

Who steps in this time? The two options seem to be a rescue from some of the aforementioned 11 banks or a government guarantee on deposits from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), a la SVB.

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