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Welcome to 2023. Recessions are looming, inflation is slowing but not by enough and Elon Musk has fired the janitors at Twitter.

Welcome to 2023. Recessions are looming, inflation is slowing but not by enough and Elon Musk has fired the janitors at Twitter, forcing staff to bring their own toilet paper to work. Hopefully your year is off to a reasonable start though.

The lowdown

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Justin Bieber. Credit: REUTERS/Mario Anzuoni

The Hipgnosis Songs Fund

What is the value of a song? It is not an easy question to answer unless, of course, you are the Hipgnosis Songs Fund, which was founded on the premise that hit songs provide predictable cash flows unaffected by economic cycles, and can thus be accurately valued.

Not everyone agrees with the Fund’s valuations, evidenced by the tumble of its share price. In October, to combat this sliding, the company undertook a debt-funded share buyback. It did nothing to prop up the share price – the value of the company is now far below the $2.2 billion it maintains is the value of its music catalog ($).

The firm’s next battle is to convince investors that it is reasonable to cling to its song valuations, even as interest rates rise ($) – and that the discount rates (used in discounted cash flow calculations to value assets with predictable cash flows) will too. If it can’t, the share price may hit an even lower note.

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Off-balance sheet items

The bottom line